Chipotle faces wary diners, tech push, big menu bets
Chipotle has only known high growth over the past decade. High growth in terms of new store openings, sales, and earnings.
Fiscal Year: January - December
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG), listed on the NYSE, has a market capitalization of $. As of Aug 19, 2025, the stock is trading at $43.38 per share, offering investors a clear view of its current market value. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 38.42, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. also offers a dividend yield of N/A , making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) may be overvalued compared to its intrinsic worth. However, to see the exact DCF fair value, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is 39.68, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. Our analysis indicates that the stock may be overvalued compared to its intrinsic value. However, it is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $ and a competitive P/E ratio of 38.42. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Chipotle has only known high growth over the past decade. High growth in terms of new store openings, sales, and earnings.
Quarterly results from Cava Group, Chipotle Mexican Grill and Sweetgreen raised warning signs about the strength of the fast-casual consumer.
After bucking industry trends, fast-casual chains like Chipotle and Cava are finally feeling the consumer slowdown. Restaurant executives have said that diners are "cautious" or dealing with an econom...
The COVID-19 pandemic-era boom in fast casual dining is officially cooling, and the industry's once high-flying "bowl brigade" — Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc CMG, Sweetgreen Inc SG, and CAVA Group Inc C...
Chipotle Rewards members can put their brand knowledge to the test for a chance to win multiple prizes, including a BUY-ONE-GET-ONE free entrée code, Queso Blanco or Adobo Ranch offer and Chipotle Rew...
The 'Undercovered' Dozen series highlights 12 lesser-covered stocks weekly, providing investment ideas and sparking community discussion on their potential. Union Pacific, Occidental Petroleum, Medica...
Despite a recent 17% stock decline due to weaker-than-expected Q2 results, Chipotle's fundamentals remain strong, with a long runway for sustained high returns on invested capital and margin expansion...
Herman Nieuwoudt appointed as Executive Vice President and President, Seismic Solutions Herman Nieuwoudt appointed as Executive Vice President and President, Seismic Solutions
Chipotle Mexican Grill's negative comparable sales performance continues in FQ2 2025, as the management lowers their FY 2025 guidance and the stock plunges by double digits. This is despite the manage...
CALGARY, Alberta, July 29, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (“CMG” or the “Company”) (TSX: CMG) is pleased to announce that it will participate in the upcoming Canaccord Genuity ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. CMG is sliding again on Monday. This comes after last week's meltdown.
Chipotle has integrated a conversational AI chat platform into its hiring process it calls "Ava Cado." The AI is able to help potential workers fill out their applications, answer questions about work...
Chipotle Mexican Grill is over 30% undervalued after a fear-driven sell-off, presenting a strong buy opportunity with a $63 fair value target. Recent comparable sales disappointment is overblown; posi...
CALGARY, Alberta, July 28, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (“CMG” or the “Company”) (TSX: CMG) is pleased to announce the appointment of Vipin Khullar as Chief Financial Officer...
Chipotle's recent earnings miss and comp sales decline have driven shares down, raising concerns about growth and brand strength. Despite headwinds, I believe management's initiatives and easier comps...
Chipotle faces declining traffic due to consumer pushback against price hikes, leading to a mid-single-digit drop in visits over recent quarters. Despite management's efforts to highlight value and ex...
Chain restaurants, including Chipotle and Domino's, say their recent performance was hampered by a tough economic environment.
IBM, Chipotle, and American Airlines just served up “crooked numbers” that wiped 8‑12 % off their share prices before Thursday's opening bell. But while IBM's chart still screams “more downside,” CMG ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill announced its second-quarter financial results on Wednesday, July 23, and the news isn't great.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE: CMG) reported its second-quarter earnings last night, which did not sit well with investors. Shares are down more than 10% on Thursday as the chain of fast-casual res...
Investors are souring on Chipotle. We don't mean its sour cream.
Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc CMG tanked in early trading on Thursday, after the company reported a revenue miss for the second quarter.
Below estimates were sourced from SimplyWallSt and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
Year | FCF Estimate | % | # Analysts |
---|---|---|---|
2025 | 1.64B | 8.46% | Est @8.5% |
2026 | 1.77B | 7.80% | Analyst x7 |
2027 | 1.89B | 6.76% | Analyst x3 |
2028 | 2.23B | 18.14% | Analyst x2 |
2029 | 2.63B | 17.81% | Analyst x2 |
2030 | 2.83B | 7.90% | Est @7.9% |
2031 | 3.01B | 6.22% | Est @6.2% |
2032 | 3.16B | 5.05% | Est @5.0% |
2033 | 3.30B | 4.22% | Est @4.2% |
2034 | 3.41B | 3.41% | Est @3.4% |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
---|---|---|---|
2023A | 1.22B | 1.00 | 1.22B |
2024A | 1.51B | 1.00 | 1.51B |
2025E | 1.64B | 1.09 | 1.50B |
2026E | 1.77B | 1.19 | 1.49B |
2027E | 1.89B | 1.30 | 1.45B |
2028E | 2.23B | 1.42 | 1.57B |
2029E | 2.63B | 1.54 | 1.70B |
2030E | 2.83B | 1.68 | 1.68B |
2031E | 3.01B | 1.84 | 1.64B |
2032E | 3.16B | 2.00 | 1.58B |
2033E | 3.30B | 2.18 | 1.51B |
2034E | 3.41B | 2.38 | 1.43B |
Terminal | 53.15B | 2.38 | 22.31B |
The information given by Studying Stocks and provided in the web and/or mobile applications (Platforms) is only factual information and should not be considered financial advice.
Any information contained in this website has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice.
When creating an account, you acknowledge that you are:
We retain the right to cancel your account for any reason, or refuse your account creation request.
The information on our Platforms is not comprehensive and is intended to provide a summary of the subject matter covered. While we use all reasonable attempts to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the data and information on our Platforms, to the extent permitted by law, we make no warranty regarding the information on these Platforms. You should monitor any changes to the information contained on these Platforms.
Furthermore we make no commitments in regards to the minimum amount of uptime that our platforms will maintain, although we will make ever reasonable attempt to ensure that the platforms are operational. Therefore, any reference of "latest", "current" and related words about the financial data presented here may not be up to date with the financial markets or represent reality of the information.
We are not liable to you or anyone else if interference with or damage to your computer systems occurs in connection with the use of these Platforms or a linked website. You must take your own precautions to ensure that whatever you select for your use from our Platforms is free of viruses or anything else (such as worms or Trojan horses) that may interfere with or damage the operations of your computer systems.
We may, from time to time and without notice, change or add to the Platforms (including the Terms) or the information, products or services described in it. However, we do not undertake to keep the Platforms updated. We are not liable to you or anyone else if errors occur in the information or the Platforms is not up-to-date.
Our Platforms may contain links to websites operated by third parties. Those links are provided for convenience and may not remain current or be maintained. Unless expressly stated otherwise, we do not endorse and are not responsible for the content on those linked websites and have no control over or rights in those linked websites.
These Platforms are for your personal, non-commercial use only. You may not modify, copy, distribute, transmit, display, perform, reproduce, publish, license, commercially exploit, create derivative works from, transfer, or sell any Content, software, products or services contained within these Platforms. You may not use these Platforms, or any of its Content, to further any commercial purpose, including any advertising or advertising revenue generation activity on your own website.
You must not do any act that we would deem to be inappropriate, is unlawful or is prohibited by any laws applicable to these Platforms, including but not limited to:
If we allow you to post any information to our Platforms, we have the right to take down this information at our sole discretion and without notice.
To the maximum extent permitted by law, we make no warranties or representations about these Platforms or the Content, including but not limited to warranties or representations that they will be complete, accurate or up-to-date, that access will be uninterrupted or error-free or free from viruses, or that these Platforms will be secure.
We reserve the right to restrict, suspend or terminate without notice your access to these Platforms, any Content, or any feature of these Platforms at any time without notice and we will not be responsible for any loss, cost, damage or liability that may arise as a result.
To the maximum extent permitted by law, in no event shall we be liable for any direct and indirect loss, damage or expense – irrespective of the manner in which it occurs – which may be suffered due to your use of our Platforms and/or the information or materials contained on it, or as a result of the inaccessibility of these Platforms and/or the fact that certain information or materials contained on it are incorrect, incomplete or not up-to-date.
This website utilises cookies. If you do not have cookies enabled in your web browser some functions of the site may not work as intended.