Oil Stocks Look Tapped Out. Why It's Time to Move Into Other Sectors.
Oil popped 8% Thursday, but oil company stocks gained just 0.5%. It suggests the stocks already reflect most of the higher crude prices.
Fiscal Year: January - December
ConocoPhillips (COP), listed on the NYSE, has a market capitalization of $159.08B. As of Apr 06, 2026, the stock is trading at $130.52 per share@else an unavailable price , offering investors a clear view of its current market value. ConocoPhillips is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 20.55, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. ConocoPhillips also offers a dividend yield of 2.57%, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that ConocoPhillips (COP) may be undervalued compared to its intrinsic worth. However, to see the exact DCF fair value, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for ConocoPhillips is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for ConocoPhillips, Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for ConocoPhillips is 21.96, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, ConocoPhillips (COP) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether ConocoPhillips (COP) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. Our analysis indicates that the stock may be undervalued compared to its intrinsic value. However, it is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of ConocoPhillips (COP) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of ConocoPhillips. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
ConocoPhillips is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $159.08B and a competitive P/E ratio of 20.55. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether ConocoPhillips is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Oil popped 8% Thursday, but oil company stocks gained just 0.5%. It suggests the stocks already reflect most of the higher crude prices.
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ConocoPhillips (COP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
The oil company's earnings fell in the fourth quarter, and so did the stock Thursday.
Below estimates were sourced from SimplyWallSt and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
| Year | FCF Estimate | % | # Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.32B | 3.90% | Est @3.9% |
| 2026 | 8.63B | 3.75% | Analyst x9 |
| 2027 | 9.57B | 10.88% | Analyst x7 |
| 2028 | 10.17B | 6.33% | Analyst x6 |
| 2029 | 11.94B | 17.35% | Analyst x2 |
| 2030 | 12.84B | 7.57% | Analyst x2 |
| 2031 | 13.39B | 4.29% | Est @4.3% |
| 2032 | 13.90B | 3.77% | Est @3.8% |
| 2033 | 14.37B | 3.40% | Est @3.4% |
| 2034 | 14.80B | 2.94% | Est @2.9% |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
| Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023A | 8.72B | 1.00 | 8.72B |
| 2024A | 8.01B | 1.00 | 8.01B |
| 2025E | 8.32B | 1.07 | 7.75B |
| 2026E | 8.63B | 1.15 | 7.48B |
| 2027E | 9.57B | 1.24 | 7.73B |
| 2028E | 10.17B | 1.33 | 7.65B |
| 2029E | 11.94B | 1.43 | 8.36B |
| 2030E | 12.84B | 1.53 | 8.37B |
| 2031E | 13.39B | 1.65 | 8.13B |
| 2032E | 13.90B | 1.77 | 7.86B |
| 2033E | 14.37B | 1.90 | 7.57B |
| 2034E | 14.80B | 2.04 | 7.25B |
| Terminal | 310.26B | 2.04 | 152.11B |
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