Where Will Sirius XM Stock Be in 3 Years?
Sirius XM has seen its stock plunge 68% over the past three years. Its subscriber base peaked before the pandemic, but it's still generating healthy profits and cash flow.
Fiscal Year: January - December
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI), listed on the NASDAQ, has a market capitalization of $. As of Dec 07, 2025, the stock is trading at $22.03 per share, offering investors a clear view of its current market value. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 7.79, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. also offers a dividend yield of 4.9%, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) may be undervalued compared to its intrinsic worth. However, to see the exact DCF fair value, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for Sirius XM Holdings Inc., Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is 6.06, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. Our analysis indicates that the stock may be undervalued compared to its intrinsic value. However, it is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of Sirius XM Holdings Inc.. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $ and a competitive P/E ratio of 7.79. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Sirius XM has seen its stock plunge 68% over the past three years. Its subscriber base peaked before the pandemic, but it's still generating healthy profits and cash flow.
Sirius XM has posted double-digit percentage declines over the past one, three, and five years. The stock has declined over the past year despite Berkshire Hathaway becoming its largest investor.
There's one critical metric that must start trending in the right direction for Sirius XM. The company has no issue generating robust free cash flow.
Sirius XM generates more than three-quarters of its revenue in subscription revenue. Streaming services and access provided by smartphones and the connected car remain the platform's largest threat.
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Sirius XM Holdings Inc. ( SIRI) Wells Fargo's 9th Annual TMT Summit November 18, 2025 12:30 PM EST Company Participants Wayne Thorsen - Executive VP & COO Conference Call Participants Steven Cahall -...
Coughlin Brings Nearly 30 Years of Financial Operational Experience Tom Barry to Step Down, Effective December 31 NEW YORK , Nov. 18, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) today ...
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SiriusXM has a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The company is slowly losing subscribers and seeing declining revenue.
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Once upon a time, satellite radio looked like a get-rich-quick scheme. The two predecessors of Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI -5.42%) made some people very rich in the second half of the 1990s, as new cars ...
Below estimates were sourced from SimplyWallSt and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
| Year | FCF Estimate | % | # Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.21B | 19.22% | Est @19.2% |
| 2026 | 1.40B | 16.12% | Analyst x9 |
| 2027 | 1.51B | 7.76% | Analyst x7 |
| 2028 | 1.59B | 5.06% | Analyst x3 |
| 2029 | 1.57B | -1.37% | Analyst x2 |
| 2030 | 1.57B | 0.07% | Est @0.1% |
| 2031 | 1.58B | 0.78% | Est @0.8% |
| 2032 | 1.60B | 1.28% | Est @1.3% |
| 2033 | 1.63B | 1.63% | Est @1.6% |
| 2034 | 1.65B | 1.75% | Est @1.8% |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
| Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023A | 1.18B | 1.00 | 1.18B |
| 2024A | 1.01B | 1.00 | 1.01B |
| 2025E | 1.21B | 1.08 | 1.12B |
| 2026E | 1.40B | 1.17 | 1.20B |
| 2027E | 1.51B | 1.27 | 1.19B |
| 2028E | 1.59B | 1.37 | 1.16B |
| 2029E | 1.57B | 1.49 | 1.05B |
| 2030E | 1.57B | 1.61 | 972.70M |
| 2031E | 1.58B | 1.74 | 905.39M |
| 2032E | 1.60B | 1.89 | 846.94M |
| 2033E | 1.63B | 2.04 | 794.97M |
| 2034E | 1.65B | 2.21 | 747.08M |
| Terminal | 29.37B | 2.21 | 13.27B |
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