Final Trade: CERT, GDX, IWM, MPC
The final trades of the day with CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.
Fiscal Year: January - December
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), listed on the NYSE, has a market capitalization of $. As of Oct 03, 2025, the stock is trading at $192.24 per share, offering investors a clear view of its current market value. Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 28.72, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. Marathon Petroleum Corporation also offers a dividend yield of 1.89%, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) may be overvalued compared to its intrinsic worth. However, to see the exact DCF fair value, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for Marathon Petroleum Corporation is 16.03, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. Our analysis indicates that the stock may be overvalued compared to its intrinsic value. However, it is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of Marathon Petroleum Corporation. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $ and a competitive P/E ratio of 28.72. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether Marathon Petroleum Corporation is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Joe Terranova, Senior Managing Director for Virtus Investment Partners, joins CNBC's "Halftime Report" to detail his latest sale in the oil company.
FINDLAY, Ohio , Sept. 9, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) will host a conference call on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, at 11 a.m.
Marathon Petroleum's sum-of-the-parts valuation is highly compelling, with its MPLX stake representing two-thirds of its value and supporting a secure dividend. Refining margins have rebounded from wi...
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call August 5, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants James R. Wilkins - Senior Vice President of Health, Environment, Safety & Se...
Marathon Petroleum Corp. MPC on Tuesday reported its second-quarter 2025 revenue of $34.101 billion, down from $38.4 billion in the prior-year period. Sales exceeded the analyst estimate of $30.963 bi...
FINDLAY, Ohio , Aug. 5, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Announced Northwind Midstream acquisition for $2.375 billion enhances Permian Natural Gas and NGL value chain and accelerates future growth opportunities S...
FINDLAY, Ohio , Aug. 5, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Second -quarter net income attributable to MPC of $1.2 billion, or $3.96 per diluted share $3.3 billion of adjusted EBITDA, driven by refining execution an...
FINDLAY, Ohio , July 30, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The board of directors of Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) has declared a dividend of $0.91 per share on common stock. The dividend is payable Sept.
Investors are expecting top U.S. refiners to report higher second-quarter profits, bouncing back from losses during the first three months of the year as unseasonably strong diesel margins boost earni...
Marathon Petroleum's Q1 loss was driven by planned maintenance and weak crack spreads, but the Q2 outlook is stronger with improved spreads and completed maintenance. MPC's extensive refining & midstr...
Marathon Petroleum continued assessing damage on Friday to the shut residual hydrotreating unit (RHU) at its 631,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas City, Texas, from a June 14 fi...
FINDLAY, Ohio , June 5, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) will host a conference call on Tuesday, August 5, 2025, at 11 a.m. EDT to discuss 2025 second-quarter financial result...
Marathon Petroleum's value is anchored by its MPLX stake, providing stable cash flows and supporting aggressive share buybacks. Refining margins are recovering, with improving crack spreads and lower ...
Energy stocks are holding up amid the trade chaos, with the benchmark S&P 500 Energy Index down -4.65% year to date but up 5.63% over the past month. Comparably, the S&P 500 index stands at -3.70% yea...
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 6, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Kristina Kazarian - Investor Relations Maryann Mannen - Chief Executive Officer...
Marathon Petroleum swung to a first-quarter loss of of $74 million as refining profit margins fell sharply alongside oil and gasoline prices.
FINDLAY, Ohio , May 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Executing Natural Gas & NGL growth strategy with agreement to acquire 100% ownership in BANGL, LLC and FID of the Traverse natural gas pipeline First-quarte...
FINDLAY, Ohio , May 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- First -quarter net loss attributable to MPC of $(74) million, or $(0.24) per diluted share mainly due to execution of second largest planned maintenance qua...
Editor's note: This article has been updated for accuracy regarding Marathon Petroleum's year-to-date performance.
Below estimates were sourced from SimplyWallSt and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
Year | FCF Estimate | % | # Analysts |
---|---|---|---|
2025 | 5.82B | -5.13% | Est @-5.1% |
2026 | 5.50B | -5.41% | Analyst x6 |
2027 | 5.53B | 0.50% | Analyst x2 |
2028 | 5.13B | -7.27% | Analyst x1 |
2029 | 4.97B | -3.14% | Est @-3.1% |
2030 | 4.90B | -1.37% | Est @-1.4% |
2031 | 4.89B | -0.26% | Est @-0.3% |
2032 | 4.91B | 0.51% | Est @0.5% |
2033 | 4.96B | 1.05% | Est @1.1% |
2034 | 5.03B | 1.33% | Est @1.3% |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
---|---|---|---|
2023A | 12.23B | 1.00 | 12.23B |
2024A | 6.13B | 1.00 | 6.13B |
2025E | 5.82B | 1.08 | 5.38B |
2026E | 5.50B | 1.17 | 4.70B |
2027E | 5.53B | 1.27 | 4.37B |
2028E | 5.13B | 1.37 | 3.75B |
2029E | 4.97B | 1.48 | 3.35B |
2030E | 4.90B | 1.60 | 3.06B |
2031E | 4.89B | 1.73 | 2.82B |
2032E | 4.91B | 1.87 | 2.62B |
2033E | 4.96B | 2.03 | 2.45B |
2034E | 5.03B | 2.19 | 2.29B |
Terminal | 90.86B | 2.19 | 41.42B |
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