NVR: Margins Are Normalizing As Expected
Despite the margin normalization, the housing market undersupply supports NVR's investment thesis. Analyst consensus estimates have been revised downwards, now aligning with my expectations that above...
Fiscal Year: January - December
NVR, Inc. (NVR), listed on the NYSE, has a market capitalization of $. As of Aug 19, 2025, the stock is trading at $8,151.74 per share, offering investors a clear view of its current market value. NVR, Inc. is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 17.16, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. NVR, Inc. also offers a dividend yield of N/A , making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that NVR, Inc. (NVR) may be overvalued compared to its intrinsic worth. However, to see the exact DCF fair value, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for NVR, Inc. is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for NVR, Inc., Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for NVR, Inc. is 19.37, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, NVR, Inc. (NVR) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether NVR, Inc. (NVR) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. Our analysis indicates that the stock may be overvalued compared to its intrinsic value. However, it is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of NVR, Inc. (NVR) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of NVR, Inc.. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
NVR, Inc. is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $ and a competitive P/E ratio of 17.16. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether NVR, Inc. is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Despite the margin normalization, the housing market undersupply supports NVR's investment thesis. Analyst consensus estimates have been revised downwards, now aligning with my expectations that above...
RESTON, Va. , Aug. 8, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR) announces that its Board of Directors has authorized the repurchase of up to an aggregate of $750 million of its outstanding common sto...
John Lovallo, UBS U.S. homebuilders analyst, joins CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss outlooks on homebuilder earnings, expectations for when homebuyers will come off the sidelines, and more.
RESTON, Va. , July 23, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR), one of the nation's largest homebuilding and mortgage banking companies, announced net income for its second quarter ended June 30, 2...
NVR shares have dropped over 15% since December, Q1 earnings missed expectations significantly, with gross margins pressured by higher lot costs and pricing competition. The company is well run but ge...
RESTON, Va. , July 1, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR) announced today that Michael J.
NVR faces significant macro headwinds, with declining community count, order book, and rising cancellations indicating weak forward sales momentum and pressure on profitability. 1Q25 results show crac...
Bellevue, Washington, April 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- eufy, a global leader in home security technology and smart appliances by Anker Innovations, today announced the upcoming availability of the P...
RESTON, Va. , April 22, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR), one of the nation's largest homebuilding and mortgage banking companies, announced net income for its first quarter ended March 31, ...
The next quarters will be weak due to the backlog decrease, but the long-term thesis is supported by the accumulated housing shortage. NVR's management owns a 7.8% stake in the company and is strongly...
Major U.S. equities indexes were mixed on the first day of the new trading week, with stocks wavering after President Donald Trump threatened to impose an additional 50% levy on China if the Asian nat...
The S&P 500 index fell about 9.1% last week (Mar 31-Apr 4), making it one of the worst performances for the benchmark. These large-cap stocks defied the index.
Shares of several U.S. homebuilders rose Friday—in a reversal from a sharp selloff a day earlier—as Treasury yields and mortgage rates fell.
Brown Harris Stevens real estate broker Lisa Lippman discusses the latest obstacles in the housing industry and whether the president's tariffs will impact buyers and sellers.
NVR, Inc. has a unique, low-debt business model that reduces risk during economic downturns, differentiating it from other homebuilders. The company only buys land when there's a confirmed buyer, mini...
RESTON, Va. , Jan. 28, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR), one of the nation's largest homebuilding and mortgage banking companies, announced net income for its fourth quarter ended December 3...
Surging bond yields are hurting housing stocks. It could get worse before there's finally a bottom.
Using a screen to find so-called lottery stocks, here are some of the most speculative plays in the stock market.
RESTON, Va. , Oct. 22, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR), one of the nation's largest homebuilding and mortgage banking companies, announced net income for its third quarter ended September 3...
NVR is well-positioned to benefit from high but declining mortgage rates and low housing supply, making it a strong "Buy" despite its higher valuation. Declining but high mortgage rates are expected t...
NVR shares have surged 29% year to date, as investor sentiment on the company and homebuilding sector more broadly has shifted. Despite strong performance in the latest quarter, the current valuation ...
Below estimates were sourced from SimplyWallSt and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
Year | FCF Estimate | % | # Analysts |
---|---|---|---|
2025 | 1.23B | -8.26% | Est @-8.3% |
2026 | 1.12B | -9.00% | Analyst x1 |
2027 | 1.10B | -2.10% | Est @-2.1% |
2028 | 1.09B | -0.74% | Est @-0.7% |
2029 | 1.09B | 0.22% | Est @0.2% |
2030 | 1.10B | 0.84% | Est @0.8% |
2031 | 1.12B | 1.28% | Est @1.3% |
2032 | 1.13B | 1.59% | Est @1.6% |
2033 | 1.16B | 1.81% | Est @1.8% |
2034 | 1.18B | 1.83% | Est @1.8% |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
---|---|---|---|
2023A | 1.47B | 1.00 | 1.47B |
2024A | 1.35B | 1.00 | 1.35B |
2025E | 1.23B | 1.09 | 1.13B |
2026E | 1.12B | 1.19 | 940.96M |
2027E | 1.10B | 1.30 | 843.20M |
2028E | 1.09B | 1.42 | 766.16M |
2029E | 1.09B | 1.56 | 702.89M |
2030E | 1.10B | 1.70 | 648.80M |
2031E | 1.12B | 1.86 | 601.51M |
2032E | 1.13B | 2.03 | 559.36M |
2033E | 1.16B | 2.22 | 521.27M |
2034E | 1.18B | 2.42 | 485.87M |
Terminal | 17.88B | 2.42 | 7.38B |
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