Semtech Stock Rebounds as Wall Street Turns Focus to Near-Term Earnings Targets
Semtech says it expects data-center revenue to more than double in the upcoming fiscal years.
Fiscal Year: February - January
Semtech Corporation (SMTC), listed on the NASDAQ, has a market capitalization of $13.27B. As of Oct 20, 2026, the stock is trading at $142.22 per share@else an unavailable price , offering investors a clear view of its current market value. Semtech Corporation is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 87.51, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. Semtech Corporation also offers a dividend yield of N/A , making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that Semtech Corporation (SMTC) has a DCF fair value that is only shown to premium members. To see it, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for Semtech Corporation is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for Semtech Corporation, Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for Semtech Corporation is 68.73, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, Semtech Corporation (SMTC) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether Semtech Corporation (SMTC) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. It is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of Semtech Corporation (SMTC) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of Semtech Corporation. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
Semtech Corporation is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $13.27B and a competitive P/E ratio of 87.51. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether Semtech Corporation is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Semtech says it expects data-center revenue to more than double in the upcoming fiscal years.
Morgan Stanley raised the firm’s price target on Semtech (SMTC) to $205 from $195 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. After management raised its fiscal Q3 outlook…
Stifel analyst Tore Svanberg lowered the firm’s price target on Semtech (SMTC) to $200 from $220 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Semtech raises its Q3 guidance to…
As previously reported, Northland upgraded Semtech (SMTC) to Outperform from Market Perform with an $186 price target Noting that the firm had downgraded Semtech last week, citing valuation as the…
Northland upgraded Semtech (SMTC) to Outperform from Market Perform with an $186 price target
Raises Q3 revenue view to $415M-$420M from $405M-$415M, consensus $410.7M. As previously announced, on October 15, 2026, Semtech (SMTC) Corporation held a Data Center Analyst Day and live webcast in…
17:30 EDT Semtech (SMTC) up 4% at $149.50 after Q3 pre-announcement
Sees FY30 sales reaching $3.2B, with FY26-FY30 net sales CAGR of 38%.
13:11 EDT Semtech (SMTC) shares down 11% to $142.82 as company speaks at Analyst Day
13:05 EDT Semtech (SMTC) sees over 50% top-line growth from 3Q26 to 3Q27
This translates into consolidated growth rate of 38% compound.
13:09 EDT Semtech (SMTC) sees data center about two-thirds of total revenue in FY30 forecast
Says overall data center capex expected to exceed $1T in the years ahead, driving “massive” increase in power consumption. Says partnering closely with hyperscalers and ecosystem leaders globally to d...
Semtech (SMTC) will host an Analyst Day today, during which management will detail the company’s strategy to capture a growing opportunity in AI data center connectivity and provide a financial…
SAN JOSE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Semtech Outlines Data Center Growth Strategy at Analyst Day.
Shareholders are encouraged to contact the firm to discuss their rights and options at no cost or obligation. We would handle any matter on a contingent fee basis, whereby you would not be responsible...
BMO Capital analyst Harsh Kumar raised the firm’s price target on Semtech (SMTC) to $230 from $155 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Heading into the company’s analyst…
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) and Semtech (SMTC) announced an expanded multi-year agreement that builds on the companies’ 20-year partnership. Under the agreement, Semtech will invest in securing dedicat...
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) and Semtech (SMTC) announced an expanded multi-year agreement that builds on the companies’ 20-year partnership. Under the agreement, Semtech will invest in securing dedicat...
MIGDAL HAEMEK, Israel & CAMARILLO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Tower Semiconductor and Semtech Expand SiGe Partnership to Scale Power-Efficient Analog Connectivity for Data Centers.
CAMARILLO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Semtech Corporation to Host Data Center Analyst Day on October 15, 2026.
Looking beyond the artificial-intelligence stocks that have become almost household names for investors, there are other ways to play the boom in computing hardware.
Projected from reported cash flow (SEC filings). The starting point is the latest yearly revenue times the median free cash flow margin of the last five years. Years 1 to 5 grow at the revenue growth rate of the last five years (between -5% and 15%), and years 6 to 10 slow down to the 2.5% perpetual growth rate. These are Studying Stocks' own estimates, not analyst forecasts, and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
| Year | FCF Estimate | % | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 148.99M | 9.11% | Projected |
| 2028 | 162.56M | 9.11% | Projected |
| 2029 | 177.37M | 9.11% | Projected |
| 2030 | 193.53M | 9.11% | Projected |
| 2031 | 211.15M | 9.11% | Projected |
| 2032 | 227.60M | 7.79% | Projected |
| 2033 | 242.31M | 6.47% | Projected |
| 2034 | 254.78M | 5.14% | Projected |
| 2035 | 264.51M | 3.82% | Projected |
| 2036 | 271.13M | 2.50% | Projected |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
| Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025A | 50.13M | 1.00 | 50.13M |
| 2026A | 171.39M | 1.00 | 171.39M |
| 2027E | 148.99M | 1.11 | Login |
| 2028E | 162.56M | 1.24 | Login |
| 2029E | 177.37M | 1.38 | Login |
| 2030E | 193.53M | 1.54 | Login |
| 2031E | 211.15M | 1.71 | Login |
| 2032E | 227.60M | 1.90 | Login |
| 2033E | 242.31M | 2.12 | Login |
| 2034E | 254.78M | 2.36 | Login |
| 2035E | 264.51M | 2.62 | Login |
| 2036E | 271.13M | 2.92 | Login |
| Terminal | 2.92 | Login |
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