Where Is Alcoa Stock Headed?
Alcoa (NYSE:AA), one of the largest aluminum producers globally, has seen a rebound in 2025 in conjunction with rising aluminum prices and a tighter global supply. Shares have moved back toward the mi...
Fiscal Year: January - December
Alcoa Corporation (AA), listed on the NYSE, has a market capitalization of $. As of Oct 04, 2025, the stock is trading at $34.50 per share, offering investors a clear view of its current market value. Alcoa Corporation is a prominent player in the industry sector, attracting both institutional and retail investors due to its performance and potential.
With a P/E ratio of 8.91, investors can assess the stock's valuation in comparison to its earnings. A P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for value investors, showing whether the stock is over or undervalued relative to its current earnings. Alcoa Corporation also offers a dividend yield of 1.15%, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors who seek regular dividends.
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis reveals that Alcoa Corporation (AA) may be undervalued compared to its intrinsic worth. However, to see the exact DCF fair value, please Login or Upgrade for access.
The proprietary SS Score for Alcoa Corporation is a unique metric that analyzes the company's financial health and growth potential. The score takes into account critical factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow (FCF) compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the trend of shares outstanding, and the debt-to-FCF ratio. This helps investors to make a more informed decision, as an undervalued stock might still have poor financial fundamentals.
To view the detailed SS Score for Alcoa Corporation, Login or Upgrade for access.
The Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio for Alcoa Corporation is 15.35, offering insights into how much investors are paying for the company's free cash flow. A lower P/FCF ratio typically suggests that the stock is undervalued, while a higher ratio may indicate overvaluation.
In summary, Alcoa Corporation (AA) has shown consistent financial performance, as illustrated by the financial charts above, which track its revenue growth, net income, free cash flow, and shares outstanding over the past several years. These metrics provide investors with key insights into the company's past and projected future performance. Investors should use the SS Score alongside the DCF Fair Value to make better-informed decisions about whether to buy or hold the stock.
*This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always read the company's 10-K filings and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Whether Alcoa Corporation (AA) is a good stock to buy depends on various factors, including its financial health, market conditions, and your investment strategy. Our analysis indicates that the stock may be undervalued compared to its intrinsic value. However, it is important to assess the SS Score and review the company's fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
The fair value of Alcoa Corporation (AA) is determined through our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. This value represents the intrinsic worth of the stock based on its expected future cash flows. To view the specific fair value, consider subscribing to our service for complete access.
The SS Score is a proprietary financial quality metric that assesses factors such as revenue growth, net income, free cash flow growth, and debt levels. It helps investors evaluate the overall financial health of Alcoa Corporation. To access the full SS Score, consider upgrading your subscription.
Alcoa Corporation is a significant player in the industry sector, with a market capitalization of $ and a competitive P/E ratio of 8.91. Investors should compare these metrics with industry peers to gauge whether Alcoa Corporation is outperforming or underperforming within its sector.
Alcoa (NYSE:AA), one of the largest aluminum producers globally, has seen a rebound in 2025 in conjunction with rising aluminum prices and a tighter global supply. Shares have moved back toward the mi...
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA, ASX: AAI) (“Alcoa” or the “Company”) announced that it will permanently close its Kwinana alumina refinery in Western Australia. This decision...
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) plans to announce its third quarter 2025 financial results on Wednesday, October 22, 2025, after the close of trading on the New Yor...
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA – TheNewswire - September 19, 2025 – Stearman Resources Inc. ( CSE:STMN) (“Stearman” or the “Company”) announces today it intends to change its name from Stearman Resource...
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation, together with Eurasia Group, today announced the publication of a new white paper.
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA – TheNewswire - September 18, 2025 – PRISMA EXPLORATION INC. (CSE: PMS) (“Prisma” or the "Company") is pleased to announce that the Company's name will formally change from...
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - September 17, 2025) - East West Petroleum Corp. (TSXV: EW) ("East West" or the "Company") announces that it intends to change the Company's name from "E...
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Morgan Stanley's 13th Annual Laguna Conference September 10, 2025 2:30 PM EDT Company Participants Molly Beerman - Executive VP & CFO Conference Call Participants Carlos d...
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) (“Alcoa” or the “Company”) will host an Investor Day on Thursday, October 30, 2025, which will be webcast live. The event is expecte...
September 4, 2025 – TheNewswire - Vancouver, British Columbia, Orion Nutraceuticals Inc. (the “ Company ”) is pleased to announce that, effective Tuesday, September 9, 2025, the Company will be changi...
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Jefferies Industrials Conference September 4, 2025 10:10 AM EDT Company Participants Molly Beerman - Executive VP & CFO Conference Call Participants Christopher LaFemina -...
Even with a significant rebound in earnings, Alcoa's (NYSE:AA) stock performance has been lackluster, hindered by tariff expenses, capacity delays, and unpredictable commodity markets. Shares have dec...
New name reflects the nonprofit's mission to help students meet basic needs and build confidence for a brighter tomorrow New name reflects the nonprofit's mission to help students meet basic needs and...
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation (“Alcoa”) will participate in two investor conferences, engaging in question-and-answer sessions regarding Alcoa's business and outlook in the current ma...
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - August 11, 2025) - Aranjin Resources Ltd. (TSXV: ARJN) ("Aranjin" or the "Company") is pleased to announce following corporate updates: Name Change Aranj...
Japanese trading house Sojitz established a joint venture with Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security (JOGMEC) to study gallium production in Australia, Sojitz said on Monday.
PERTH, Australia--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Today, Alcoa of Australia Limited (“Alcoa”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX AAI; “the Company”), announced a Joint Development Agreeme...
How Trump's aluminum tariffs hurt a U.S. aluminum company.
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) today announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share of the Company's common stock ...
Vancouver, British Columbia – July 21, 2025 – TheNewswire - Boksburg Ventures Inc. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce that, effective July 22, 2025, the Company will be changing its name from Boks...
Alcoa posted sharp sequential declines in EBITDA and Net Income for 2Q2025, deepening the significant uncertainty surrounding potential increases in U.S. tariffs on aluminum imports. Valuation multipl...
In a market landscape marked by fluctuating commodity prices and geopolitical uncertainties, Alcoa Corporation‘s AA recent financial performance offers a glimpse into the evolving dynamics of the alum...
Alcoa's Q2 FY2025 results showed revenue beat, but significant EPS decline due to lower alumina prices and sharply higher U.S. Section 232 tariffs. The primary issue is the massive impact of U.S. tari...
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call July 16, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Louis Langlois - Senior Vice President of Treasury & Capital Markets Molly S. Beerman - Exec...
PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) today reported results for the second quarter 2025 that reflect strong operational performance, and a sequential increase in cash de...
Below estimates were sourced from SimplyWallSt and are intended for educational purposes only as a baseline for the analysis.
Year | FCF Estimate | % | # Analysts |
---|---|---|---|
2025 | 315.94M | 652.24% | Est @652.2% |
2026 | 589.89M | 86.71% | Analyst x2 |
2027 | 1,254.76M | 112.71% | Analyst x1 |
2028 | 1,581.50M | 26.04% | Est @26.0% |
2029 | 1,881.48M | 18.97% | Est @19.0% |
2030 | 2,128.70M | 13.14% | Est @13.1% |
2031 | 2,339.29M | 9.89% | Est @9.9% |
2032 | 2,517.54M | 7.62% | Est @7.6% |
2033 | 2,669.16M | 6.02% | Est @6.0% |
2034 | 2,791.54M | 4.58% | Est @4.6% |
Below are the FCF estimates with the discount factor and the calculated present value with the terminal value that led the results above.
Year | FCF | Discount Factor | PV of Future FCF |
---|---|---|---|
2023A | -440.00M | 1.00 | -440.00M |
2024A | 42.00M | 1.00 | 42.00M |
2025E | 315.94M | 1.10 | 286.49M |
2026E | 589.89M | 1.22 | 485.02M |
2027E | 1.25B | 1.34 | 935.51M |
2028E | 1.58B | 1.48 | 1.07B |
2029E | 1.88B | 1.63 | 1.15B |
2030E | 2.13B | 1.80 | 1.18B |
2031E | 2.34B | 1.98 | 1.18B |
2032E | 2.52B | 2.19 | 1.15B |
2033E | 2.67B | 2.41 | 1.11B |
2034E | 2.79B | 2.66 | 1.05B |
Terminal | 36.77B | 2.66 | 13.82B |
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